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Writer's pictureAvi Shaposhnik

Strategic Adjustments in the U.S. and Mexican Sugar Industries Impact Global Trade

Updated: Jul 16

The latest USDA WASDA report offers a detailed examination of the sugar markets in Mexico and the U.S. for the 2023/24 period, revealing significant trends in production, imports, and exports that are shaping the current sugar industry landscape.


  • Mexico's sugar production is down significantly to 4.572 million MT due to reduced harvested areas, with exports to the U.S. also reduced to 426,757 MT.

  • U.S. beet sugar production decreased to 5.144 million STRV, while TRQ imports increased to 1.775 million and exports rose to 197,634 STRV.

  • The global sugar market is adjusting to decreased exports from Mexico and increased imports across various countries, reflecting broader shifts in international supply and demand dynamics.


Sugar

Mexican sugar production for 2023/24 is forecasted at 4.572 million metric tons, marking a decrease of 175,090 MT from the previous month and 651,856 MT less than the previous year. This decline is primarily due to a significant drop in the harvested area, now projected at 727,116 hectares. Despite improvements in sugarcane yield and sucrose recovery, the reduction in area negatively impacts overall production volumes. Additionally, exports to the U.S. are expected to decrease by 142,941 MT to 426,757 MT, reflecting a shift in production towards more domestically profitable standard sugar.


Globally, Mexican sugar imports are strategically managed through the IMMEX program, with temporary allowances for duty-free imports from the U.S. This adjustment is expected to redirect 50,000 MT of sugar production to domestic consumption, boosting the IMMEX projection by 25,000 MT to 425,000 MT. Overall, Mexican imports for consumption are anticipated to total 475,000 MT, while total imports reach 575,000 MT.


In the U.S., beet sugar production is reduced by 27,340 short tons to 5.144 million due to lower sucrose recovery rates. Although cane sugar production remains steady, TRQ imports are increased by 25,086 STRV to 1.775 million, primarily from Argentina and Panama. Adjustments in U.S. sugar imports and exports reflect nuanced changes in global sugar trade dynamics, with exports rising by 37,634 STRV to 197,634.


The evolving dynamics of the sugar market highlighted in this report emphasize the importance of Hedgify's role in providing robust hedging solutions to protect businesses from the volatility associated with commodity price fluctuations.


The information provided in this market insight is for general informational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. It is not intended to offer any financial recommendations or endorsements. Any decisions made based on the content are the sole responsibility of the reader.

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